MLB Daily Double - July 3rd, 2025
Brewers vs Mets 7:10PM EST
The first Brewers–Mets showdown of 2025 finds two clubs moving in different directions. Milwaukee rides a 16-9 June and a recent 8-2 surge, powered by a healthy lineup and a bullpen that has quietly settled in behind road-warrior lefty José Quintana. The veteran southpaw is 6-2 with a 3.30 ERA overall, but the real headline is his spotless 4-0 mark and microscopic 1.31 ERA in six road starts—numbers that have kept the Brewers within striking distance of Chicago atop the NL Central despite an otherwise quiet offseason. Milwaukee’s defense remains steady, injuries are minimal, and its offense has begun to string together crooked numbers with regularity, giving the club both momentum and matchup advantages heading into Queens.
New York, by contrast, staggers home from a sweep in Pittsburgh amid a 2-8 tailspin that has strained an overachieving pitching staff. David Peterson’s pristine 4-0 record and 2.22 ERA at Citi Field offer a silver lining, but his five-run stumble in his last outing underscores a taxed bullpen and a rotation still missing Sean Manaea and Frankie Montas. Even a star-studded lineup featuring newly signed Juan Soto and re-upped Pete Alonso has struggled to paper over those gaps. With Milwaukee’s offense ascending, Quintana in top form on the road, and the Mets looking vulnerable despite their talent, the sharper side is the one arriving hot from the Midwest. Prediction: Brewers ML
Angels vs Braves 7:15PM EST
Thursday’s matinee in Atlanta closes out a series between two clubs trending in opposite directions. The Angels have clawed within 1.5 games of an AL Wildcard thanks to a revitalized offense led by breakout slugger Jo Adell (18 HR, .816 OPS) and steady run-producers Taylor Ward and Mike Trout, while youngster José Soriano—despite an eight-run hiccup versus Washington—has allowed one run or fewer in three of his last four outings and sports a serviceable 3.99 ERA over 97 innings. Los Angeles, a tidy 4-2 in its last six road games, showed it can hang with contenders by sweeping Boston last week and arrives at Truist Park averaging 4.32 runs per game, enough support for Soriano if his heavy sinker is back on script.
Atlanta, meanwhile, has slipped eight games off the NL Wildcard pace and just dropped its third series in four tries; June was particularly unkind to Bryce Elder, whose 8.25 ERA for the month ballooned his season mark to 5.82 as hard contact piled up. Even with Matt Olson’s resurgent bat (15 HR, .838 OPS) and Sean Murphy heating up, the Braves’ offense is stuck at 4.05 runs a night and can’t consistently mask a bullpen forced to cover early exits—especially when Elder’s last start ended after two innings and nine earned runs. With Soriano providing the steadier arm, L.A.’s lineup chipping away at a pitching-thin opponent, and Atlanta having dropped four of Elder’s last five turns, value tilts toward the visitors. Prediction: Los Angeles Angels +120